Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.251032 0.289991 0.332808 0.383330 0.441294 0.505697 0.582667
2024-10-06 0.199826 0.252891 0.316477 0.398182 0.500301 0.623644 0.783883
2024-10-13 0.155529 0.214060 0.289984 0.395447 0.537932 0.723543 0.983533
2024-10-20 0.127043 0.188995 0.275463 0.404509 0.591762 0.853123 1.245198
2024-10-27 0.100488 0.160806 0.250969 0.394847 0.617948 0.949893 1.480389
2024-11-03 0.085868 0.146992 0.244318 0.409481 0.681630 1.110857 1.837488
2024-11-10 0.074543 0.135900 0.239519 0.425710 0.750271 1.290464 2.254769
2024-11-17 0.062836 0.121612 0.226559 0.425605 0.791454 1.431922 2.633471
2024-11-24 0.053173 0.108896 0.213769 0.423056 0.827361 1.569442 3.027795
2024-12-01 0.045582 0.098487 0.203131 0.422228 0.865766 1.716796 3.463567
2024-12-08 0.039660 0.090159 0.194863 0.424261 0.909605 1.880537 3.956427
2024-12-15 0.035417 0.084483 0.190845 0.434060 0.970448 2.086346 4.565162
2024-12-22 0.030865 0.077284 0.182513 0.433703 1.011200 2.260581 5.143832
2024-12-29 0.027807 0.072928 0.179674 0.445116 1.079951 2.505242 5.915273
2025-01-05 0.024076 0.066116 0.169868 0.438506 1.106505 2.662006 6.517922
2025-01-12 0.021668 0.062163 0.166195 0.446076 1.168140 2.908452 7.369085
2025-01-19 0.018646 0.055887 0.155473 0.433829 1.178776 3.036727 7.959380
2025-01-26 0.017217 0.053746 0.155132 0.448735 1.261574 3.353881 9.069420
2025-02-02 0.016010 0.051988 0.155500 0.465679 1.352907 3.707071 10.329334
2025-02-09 0.014322 0.048383 0.149981 0.465024 1.396062 3.942449 11.317931
2025-02-16 0.012772 0.044857 0.143997 0.461883 1.431723 4.163668 12.304910
2025-02-23 0.011474 0.041849 0.138987 0.460734 1.473117 4.407458 13.395435
2025-03-02 0.010412 0.039397 0.135225 0.462780 1.524648 4.688381 14.639143